If everyone else in a field is worried, and you have no unfair advantage or special insight, and you are not willing to move into conspiracy theories, I think t

If everyone else in a field is worried, and you have no unfair advantage or special insight, and you are not willing to move into conspiracy theories, I think there's a good hint as to what approach is most reasonable right now. Might of course turn out to have been completely off, later. Still, maybe one of those occasions where you really don't want to "oops" it.