I think this is an example of science progressing one funeral at a time effect. For decades the analysts and intelligence communities had every single action, t

I think this is an example of science progressing one funeral at a time effect. For decades the analysts and intelligence communities had every single action, thought, and breath colored by a bi-polar world on the brink of extinction; that whole paradigm suddenly collapsed in the early 90's and no one really rethought what that meant. So now our military and intelligence apparatuses are to paraphrase an old quote "perfectly prepared to fight the last war", without taking into account the multi-polar nature of the world.