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A more in-depth look is that those aggressive guerilla conflicts were different from a presumed defensive conflict over Taiwan.

by IncRnd 4y ago

pessimizer 4y ago
Taiwan would have to initiate a defensive conflict over Taiwan. The US attacking China is not defensive.
- IncRnd 4y ago
  I don't understand what you are saying. Could you reword that? Taiwan will be in a defensive conflict if they are attacked. Who has said that the US will attack China?? Chinese policy is that Taiwan is part of China and has a separatist faction of rulers. Talking about the US attacking China, which isn't going to happen, does nobody any favors.
  - sudosysgen 4y ago
    Militarily, the US will have to fight what would be identical to an offensive war naval and aerial against China, as they will not have the opportunity to exploit defensive positions in Taiwan.
    - deleted 4y ago
      [deleted]
    - infamia 4y ago
      The idea would be to keep China from landing in force (which they don't have the capability to do anyhow) and Japan is very close by.
      - sudosysgen 4y ago
        That would again require an offensive to degrade Chinese military assets, not the defense of a position. The Chinese are very unlikely to attempt a landing in force as the first line of attack. They are most likely to try to blockade Taiwan using air assets, naval mines, and submarines. Therefore the most likely US scenario is going to be breaking a siege, which is an offensive action. If the siege doesn't work China will have to land forces in Taiwan, but even if we are assuming they can't get a beachhead despite holding a siege, they can still deploy and supply an estimated 300,000 troops from the air. This ought to be enough to establish a beachhead from the ground, or at least secure/improvise airfields. For the US to be able to defend Taiwan, being able to attack and destroy Chinese naval assets is absolutely necessary. It is not possible to defend Taiwan otherwise.

A more in-depth look is that those aggressive guerilla conflicts were different from a presumed defensive conflict over Taiwan.

by IncRnd 4y ago

A more in-depth look is that those aggressive guerilla conflicts were different from a presumed defensive conflict over Taiwan.

pessimizer 4y ago

Taiwan would have to initiate a defensive conflict over Taiwan. The US attacking China is not defensive.

IncRnd 4y ago
I don't understand what you are saying. Could you reword that? Taiwan will be in a defensive conflict if they are attacked. Who has said that the US will attack China?? Chinese policy is that Taiwan is part of China and has a separatist faction of rulers. Talking about the US attacking China, which isn't going to happen, does nobody any favors.
- sudosysgen 4y ago
  Militarily, the US will have to fight what would be identical to an offensive war naval and aerial against China, as they will not have the opportunity to exploit defensive positions in Taiwan.
  - deleted 4y ago
    [deleted]
  - infamia 4y ago
    The idea would be to keep China from landing in force (which they don't have the capability to do anyhow) and Japan is very close by.
    - sudosysgen 4y ago
      That would again require an offensive to degrade Chinese military assets, not the defense of a position. The Chinese are very unlikely to attempt a landing in force as the first line of attack. They are most likely to try to blockade Taiwan using air assets, naval mines, and submarines. Therefore the most likely US scenario is going to be breaking a siege, which is an offensive action. If the siege doesn't work China will have to land forces in Taiwan, but even if we are assuming they can't get a beachhead despite holding a siege, they can still deploy and supply an estimated 300,000 troops from the air. This ought to be enough to establish a beachhead from the ground, or at least secure/improvise airfields. For the US to be able to defend Taiwan, being able to attack and destroy Chinese naval assets is absolutely necessary. It is not possible to defend Taiwan otherwise.