> I would be surprised if there even is a mainstream ICE car available in 2035. I'd be happy to bet on that! There's no state in the US where electric cars ar

> I would be surprised if there even is a mainstream ICE car available in 2035. I'd be happy to bet on that! There's no state in the US where electric cars are a majority of what are sold today, with the highest fraction being CA at 18%. [1]. Naive extrapolation gives you 57% of CA in 2030 and 30% of US. [2] The combination of "some people are going to still prefer gas cars" and "those people are concentrated in some states" means I'd expect many ICE options available in 2035. [1] https://www.gov.ca.gov/2022/10/19/california-zev-sales-near-18-of-all-new-car-sales-in-2022/ https://www.gov.ca.gov/2022/10/19/california-zev-sales-near-... [2] https://evadoption.com/ev-sales/ev-sales-forecasts/ https://evadoption.com/ev-sales/ev-sales-forecasts/