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Dear colleagues and amateurs, are you sure it was “a Smashing Success»?... Briefings, emotional interviews, impressive photos, PR-type publications - all this
by Vik_Vasylyev-1 4y ago
Dear colleagues and amateurs, are you sure it was “a Smashing Success»?...
Briefings, emotional interviews, impressive photos, PR-type publications - all this can be important for discussions and conclusions in politics, but not in science. Before the appearance of publications in peer-reviewed journals with detailed data and analysis of the collision consequences for Dimorphos`s orbit, there is nothing to discuss seriously and essentially.
The following must also be taken into account. One million kilograms of ejected fragments is only less than one percent of the total mass of the target. Since the ejection was "fan-shaped", its effect was most likely extremely insignificant, especially with a completely inelastic reaction for impulse transmission to Dimorphos, which is a loose pile of rubble, stones and dust, but not a monolithic rock.
Finally, during photometric and radar observations, nature can played a «cruel joke» with observers who used the mutual eclipses of Didymos and Dimorphos to determine of its orbit changes. The matter is that an asymmetric and optically dense ejection of large asteroid fragments could partially remain in the orbit together with Dimorphos for a long time. With a small value of its first cosmic velocity around of 4 cm/s, this is quite probable and is confirmed by video animation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfqVqOl9S9w https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfqVqOl9S9w.
In turn, this could lead to optical-geometric distortions in the measurements of the difference between the moments of mutual eclipses due to the displacement of the photometric center with respect to the center of gravity. Using only different types of eclipses, occurring after 6 hours, lead to distortions of around 30 minutes, which could be interpreted as a real change in orbital period.
- moron4hire 4y ago> Briefings, emotional interviews, impressive photos, PR-type publications - all this can be important for discussions and conclusions in politics, but not in science. What proof do you have?
- Fatnino 4y agoYour video clearly shows a cloud of ejecta leaving the system. I don't see a clump breaking off and staying in orbit.
- Vik_Vasylyev-1 4y agoPlease see this video after 50th minute. It shows that Dimorphos has approximately doubled in size. This is an animation compressed 500 times according to the authors, so it seems that this process happened quickly. It can be seen from it that such an increased size remained unchanged, which indicates the "hanging" of the ejection near Dimorphos. The fact that it did not fly far indicates the relatively large size of the ejected fragments.
- Vik_Vasylyev-1 4y agoSorry, after 50th second...
- fennecfoxy 4y agoThey consider it a smashing success not only because they achieved the goal they set out to achieve, but because of the "smashing" joke. I don't think they've advertised these deflections as a perfectly reliable system...they're still experiments lmao. What other organisation is developing and testing planetary defences to such a degree? I'm personally just extremely happy that we're doing _something_ about planet killing objects, now I need only cross my fingers that we don't kill our planet ourselves, through environmental negligence or nuclear war.
- Vik_Vasylyev-1 4y agoI can agree with you, but spending hundreds of millions dollars is too much for a "smashing" joke without achieving the main goal of the mission under discussion...