I wouldn't call it entirely unpredictable. I've had probably five successive years of my birthday (the 20tht of October) being unusually warm. Warm as in being

I wouldn't call it entirely unpredictable. I've had probably five successive years of my birthday (the 20tht of October) being unusually warm. Warm as in being closer to 20 degrees celcius; or in one case warmer than that. The previously expected temperatures would be closer to zero. Like it reliably was every year when I was younger. 5 degrees would be normal. 10 degrees would be warm. 20 degrees would be ridiculous and unthinkable. Except that has now happened or nearly happened more than five years in a row. 18 degrees last time. And it hit 23 degrees a few days after. I actually walked outside in a t-shirt and a hoody in Berlin on the 31st of December. It was 17 degrees Celcius during the day. It never dipped below 14 degrees that day. That was only a few degrees warmer than the year before. This is the new normal for western Europe. It's long, cold winters that have become unusual. We haven't had one of those for quite a few years. The couple of weeks of snow we had last year don't count. The two weeks of freezing temperatures we had a month ago don't count. That's actually what used to be normal and expected for months on end. The anomaly is that this only happens for very short periods of time now. And some winters it doesn't happen at all anymore. I haven't actually had my heating on since December. The temperature in my apartment never dips below 18 degrees. In January. That's a first. That has never happened to me. This is not luck but climate change. The real lucky event is that Putin is forcing our hands years before we were ready to do something about that. LNG and coal are the short term expensive solution that is obviously bad for the climate. But they are also an enormous financial incentive to switch to renewables. Energy bills have gone up by 200-300% for people. It sucks. People are switching off their heating systems and wearing multiple sweaters for financial reasons. People I know, like my sister and my parents. And they are not even poor. This sucks more for people that literally need to choose between feeding themselves, paying the rent, or staying warm. There are plenty of those people. Everybody that has the option is now considering roof top solar, heat pumps, etc. Whatever they can do where the math adds up. And in some cases even when it doesn't add up. Demand for that stuff is simply enormous. Everybody is looking at ways to cut their energy bills whichever way they can and as fast as they can. There's a sense of urgency with people to fix their energy independence. We didn't have that before 2022. That's a really positive change from my point of view.