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> I would guess that less than 1% of the population has multiple encrypted backups, included password protected versions of the encryption key. A quick search
by tristor 4y ago
> I would guess that less than 1% of the population has multiple encrypted backups, included password protected versions of the encryption key.
A quick search concludes that while the consumer-focused cloud backup market in the US is only seeing incremental growth (17% CAGR), it currently represents around $15B/yr. [1]
If you just do some back of napkin math based on the yearly cost of a Backblaze subscription ($70)[2] you can pretty easily come out with a rough estimate of the amount of devices/users utilizing "encrypted backups" which roughly applies to all major players in the consumer/device cloud backup space.
$15B / $70 = 200M devices. The population of the US is ~350M, so roughly 60% of Americans have an "encrypted cloud backup", and I'd say that is actually a /very/ conservative estimate, considering that iOS accounts for 55% of the mobile market share in the US currently and by default enables automated backups to iCloud for connected devices. It also doesn't capture variance in pricing structure, devices that are managed by businesses and have enforced backup policies, and non-cloud based backups (Time Machine, et al). Conservatively though, 2 out of every 3 computing devices (inclusive of tablets and smartphones) you interact with in the wild in the US have "encrypted backups" in addition to whatever default disk encryption is enabled.
There's a lot of stuff being slung around in this subthread that makes me think people's mental models are still set in 2008, not in 2023. My 70s parents have full disk encrypted devices which are backed up via encrypted cloud backups and use a password manager, and I've done little to no coaching, because it's the DEFAULT state of many of their devices and heavily encouraged for enablement during onboarding for devices where it is not default. Have you gone through the OOBE on a new Macbook lately? You are encouraged to connect it to your iCloud account, then enable FileVault 2 with a recovery key stored in iCloud, and then to enable iCloud backups. Of course, there's some dark patterns associated due to the revenue model of iCloud for Apple, but it's also something directly beneficial to the end user.
[1]: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/cloud-backup-and-recovery-market-size-to-grow-by-usd-14-59-billion--33-of-the-market-growth-to-originate-from-apac--technavio-301556640.html https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/cloud-backup-and-re...
[2]: https://www.backblaze.com/backup-pricing.html https://www.backblaze.com/backup-pricing.html
- crazygringo 4y agoYou're missing the "multiple" part. How many non-tech people are backing up their laptop to Backblaze and a second service or encrypted external drive? You're also missing part of the "encrypted" part, where the whole point of the article is that it's only effectively encrypted if the cloud provider doesn't have the key (and therefore becomes riskier). And Backblaze doesn't enable private encryption keys by default. Apple doesn't either by default for things like iOS backup. So yes, what's standard is a single cloud backup that is encrypted at rest, but where the provider still has keys to access it. In contrast, I very much stand by my less than 1%, if it's encrypted with a private key to multiple backup destinations, which is what the parent I was responding to was describing.