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I wonder if this isn't the same all over? In Sweden we also have a local metrology bureu which produces much better forecasts than most others. As I understand
by sandos 4y ago
I wonder if this isn't the same all over? In Sweden we also have a local metrology bureu which produces much better forecasts than most others. As I understand it they basically tweak the global models with .. sort of local "knowledge". And there are many such models, a few EU-specific and, I assume, one local for most countries.
- 83 4y agoIs metrology a typo, or are there countries that call it metrology instead of meteorology? In the US metrology is a specific field dealing with measurement, often the department dealing with high precision calibrating/measuring tools in the metal machining industry.
- kuhewa 4y agoNate Silver's The Signal and the Noise's chapter about weather forecasting described forecasters during a visit doing that, a manual tweak essentially based on experienced intuition at the end that the models couldn't yet replicate.
- j45 4y agoThis makes total sense for where I live too. A crowdsourced api of these adjustments would be neat.
- null_object 4y ago> In Sweden we also have a local metrology bureu which produces much better forecasts than most others Ironically Sweden’s best weather forecast comes from Norway [0] [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31965812 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31965812
- Humphrey 4y agoAbout 10 years ago, I dropped into our local meteorology office on my lunch break to ask about the weather for a week long bush walk I had planned. It was amazing too see how much local knowledge the guy there could apply to the official BOM forecasts to make them more meaningful! Models are great, and have improved significantly since then, but human experience is also amazing!