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I think you're right that these models will soon be aggressively locked down and monetized, but I'm still pretty nervous about them. The dynamic of powerful but

by rurp 4y ago

I think you're right that these models will soon be aggressively locked down and monetized, but I'm still pretty nervous about them. The dynamic of powerful but inaccessible tools is going to lead to a lot more inequality. If AI does start to create a large amount of business value, that value will be almost entirely captured by the wealthiest companies and individuals, and will further cement existing moats. There's a good chance that these tools will be of limited use to individual creators while being very useful in certain capacities for the Microsoft's of the world. If these companies need to choose between making the world a better place or increasing quarterly profits by a notable amount, I don't think there's much question what they will choose.

danShumway 4y ago
insert Cory Doctorow post that I'm too lazy to look up about how the Ludites weren't against technology, they were against the way it was being used against them Honestly, most of my concern around AI has very little to do with the technology or its effectiveness, partly because I don't think that technological effectiveness is always necessarily the biggest indicator of what technologies will win in a market. I have zero doubt that a company like Adobe or Microsoft would love to become the gatekeeper of what content gets made and how people make it regardless of whether their gatekeeping actually makes it easier for people to create. Every big company would love to be the middleperson in-between writers/artists/coders and their creative/professional output. But even there, there's a big difference between AI being a tool used against normal professionals, and AI taking over the world and putting every programmer out of business. I definitely don't mean to dismiss concerns about access, but I think I'm a lot more bearish about the ability of the modern tech industry to pull off commercializing a genuinely useful, important category of tech without immediately hampering it to the point where ordinary people start to notice and where it stops being a great replacement for the thing it was supposed to replace.

by rurp 4y ago

danShumway 4y ago

insert Cory Doctorow post that I'm too lazy to look up about how the Ludites weren't against technology, they were against the way it was being used against them Honestly, most of my concern around AI has very little to do with the technology or its effectiveness, partly because I don't think that technological effectiveness is always necessarily the biggest indicator of what technologies will win in a market. I have zero doubt that a company like Adobe or Microsoft would love to become the gatekeeper of what content gets made and how people make it regardless of whether their gatekeeping actually makes it easier for people to create. Every big company would love to be the middleperson in-between writers/artists/coders and their creative/professional output. But even there, there's a big difference between AI being a tool used against normal professionals, and AI taking over the world and putting every programmer out of business. I definitely don't mean to dismiss concerns about access, but I think I'm a lot more bearish about the ability of the modern tech industry to pull off commercializing a genuinely useful, important category of tech without immediately hampering it to the point where ordinary people start to notice and where it stops being a great replacement for the thing it was supposed to replace.