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> This isn't bayesian, this is just counting boxes on a permutation table. It's the same thing. Bayes' theorem allows you to shortcut straight to the answer wi
by screwt 15y ago
> This isn't bayesian, this is just counting boxes on a permutation table.
It's the same thing. Bayes' theorem allows you to shortcut straight to the answer without having to draw out a full probability tree / permutation table. But the underlying math is the same - in each case you have a different probability of B given A, versus B given (not A).
- wizzard 15y agoPersonally I wouldn't call it "Bayesian" so much as just "a conditional probability." The question doesn't ask what the probability is that a randomly selected participant is an engineer, it asks what the probability is that a participant is an engineer given that he has "typical" engineer-like traits. But then yes, ideally you could use Bayes' Rule to find that probability.