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But according to that same law, shouldn't your skill at predictions be much greater than that of a future-predictor living in the year 1900? You can't just map
by lacker 18y ago
But according to that same law, shouldn't your skill at predictions be much greater than that of a future-predictor living in the year 1900?
You can't just map the whole world onto a linear scale and expect resulting metrics to be consistent.
- jodrellblank 18y agoMy skill at predictions is better. He tried to predict, I didn't. ;) Meat brains aren't subject to the law (yet). We don't change ourselves so we don't get a growing return on our own improvements. I ought to have the same skill at predictions (environment, nutrition, education, age, culture, upbringing, effort, normal human variations in ability and the quirk of ever increasing IQ levels notwithstanding).