I think it's just as likely to be the other way around. AI has been doing these hype cycles for for 30+ years now and every time it's "this is amazing and will

I think it's just as likely to be the other way around. AI has been doing these hype cycles for for 30+ years now and every time it's "this is amazing and will take people's jobs" - But what always happens is not much change in the short term, and rather subtle changes in the long term. People underestimate how important the edge cases these models aren't good at are. I also think ChatGPT is amazing, but historically it's not any more amazing that many of the previous AI-related developments for their time, none of which have quite lived up to the initial promise after the hype died. Just look at some of the robots from the 80s [0] that were expected to be in every household. And when chess was solved, of course we were just a few years away from AGI. In 20 years, people will look at ChatGPT and make fun of how cute it was, and we'll still be just a few years away from AGI. People aren't blind, they are just realistic. Yes, current AI models will slowly be integrated into services and bring changes behind the scenes, but it's not going to be the big explosion of change a lot of people expect it to be. [0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jkOctWWsj-A https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jkOctWWsj-A