4 ms·
I strongly disagree. You could find a thousand headlines of executives making market predictions that were completely wrong. This is a total illusion. Two year
by windowshopping 4y ago
I strongly disagree. You could find a thousand headlines of executives making market predictions that were completely wrong. This is a total illusion.
Two years? Man that's an eternity. Imagine making a two-year prediction in 1999 (dot-com crash, 9/11), 2007 (recession, series of financial catastrophes), 2015 (trump elected), 2019 (covid)...
- sottol 4y agoThese companies have huge swathes of cash that need to be managed. Google for example has a large team of (renowned, fwiw) economists, among them Hal Varian [1], doing among other things revenue forecasts which would take the state of the economy into account. I would hazard a guess that MS (and thus its CEO) does have more insight into the economy than a random person. Does absolutely not mean that economists are necessarily great at forecasting, but they are professionals fwiw. [1] https://www.quora.com/What-do-economists-do-at-Google-their-responsibilities-as-Googles-employees https://www.quora.com/What-do-economists-do-at-Google-their-...