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OpenAI has 3 unique advantages that others don't. Namely : Sam Altman, Microsoft and self-fulfilling prophecies. 1. Sam Altman - OpenAI does relationships lik
by screye 4y ago
OpenAI has 3 unique advantages that others don't.
Namely : Sam Altman, Microsoft and self-fulfilling prophecies.
1. Sam Altman - OpenAI does relationships like no other company. They are getting doors opened to data that others (even big companies) simply do not have access to. having Altman at the helm has a lot to do with it. He is also the reason OpenAI is arguably second only to Tesla in terms of being a self-marketing behemoth with no real marketing budget. The super-fans do all the talking for you.
2. Microsoft - Whatever the fine-print of their relationship is, despite not owning OpenAI, Microsoft is throwing its entire weight behind them. This means that the entities who can compete on compute and endless money supply are Google and Amazon. The fact that Microsoft obscures its relationship with OpenAI, also means that OpenAI gets to move with the sort of agility and goodwill, that something branded MSFT/AMZN/GOOG simply cannot.
3. Self-fulfilling prophecies - These models get better with human in the loop (HITL) feedback. OpenAI is the one getting the most human in the loop feedback due to being first movers and that lets them make better models. The better models mean that users keep coming back to OpenAI to give more HITL feedback.
(This is more so true with NLP than Vision. Vision has a healthy set of competitors across the board)
- consumer451 4y ago> 3. Self-fulfilling prophecies This is a bit off-topic, but I have been thinking that if LLMs lead to near AGI, then we are indeed doomed to an AI takeover as there is ton of human-generated stories about that to learn from. Maybe we should start writing a lot more tech-utopian stories to improve our chances? /half-serious
- nullsense 4y ago>as there is ton of human-generated stories about that to learn from. Oh snap. Hoisted by our own petard!
- consumer451 4y agoI nervously laugh about it, but ever since this occurred to me I get the feeling that it's almost too predictable, poetic, and plainly dumb-as-a-species not to happen.
- nullsense 4y agoIt's an amusing insight. You've got me nervously laughing about it too. How do the machines know what tastywheat really tasted like? My guess is they read the script for The Matrix and learned that accurately mimicking the tastes of foods would be necessary to get the mind to accept the illusion.
- intelVISA 4y agoIt's not too late to worship the basilisk.
- gregw2 4y agoI've said it before, also half-seriously (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33953367 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33953367)... it doesn't help that our best thinkers and engineers are trying ensure an AI passes the Turing Test, but the Turing Test as a goal inherently is about an AI deceiving human perceptions as to its nature and intentions and awareness, rather than generating/purveying truth (or beauty or justice or the good!) It was a clever idea of Turing's to sidestep the definition of intelligence (and truth), but not necessarily a wise one for our society to spend billions of dollars and our best minds to prioritize! Be careful about your goal function!!
- WheelsAtLarge 4y ago> 2. Microsoft I doubt this is an advantage in the long term. Big companies work hard to protect their revenue source so they tend to overlook opportunities that threaten their income. Google should have had a product already but they claim they want to make sure it's safe before they produce one. That's admirable but ultimately it will bite them in the ass. Google is protecting their reputation along with their ad business which is basically a money printer. Small startups don't care they just want to survive one more day so they are willing to take chances. That's a huge advantage over the big players. Who knows what the future will bring but I know we are at the beginning of a major change.