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Yeah, they're inevitable in my estimation. The only question is "how soon". And I probably lean towards the idea that truly autonomous, "all conditions, all set
by mindcrime 4y ago
Yeah, they're inevitable in my estimation. The only question is "how soon". And I probably lean towards the idea that truly autonomous, "all conditions, all settings, all terrain" self-driving cars are a lot further out than people think. And there are two reasons for that:
1. I mean, shit, I write software for a living, I know how the sausage is made. And I know how shitty and brittle and error prone most software is. I won't be putting my life in the hands of your shitty non-tested, non-verified, low-bid code anytime soon!
2. Recognizing that there's a HUGE difference between doing self-driving in Arizona on a nice long, straight, smooth highway, in summer-time, in broad daylight, and doing it on a windy, twisty, narrow, back-country road in the mountains, in the middle of winter, with snow falling, a layer of ice on the road already, in the middle of the night. To be fair, humans don't do particularly well in that setting either, but still...
All of that said though, I lean towards what somebody (was it Eric Drexler?) said about how "if a technological advancement isn't literally impossible under the laws of physics, then it is going to happen. The only question is when."