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> never, ever would have happened in a hard science If only! Cancer biology has also struggled mightily with replicability, as has machine learning. Amgen cou
by mattkrause 4y ago
> never, ever would have happened in a hard science
If only!
Cancer biology has also struggled mightily with replicability, as has machine learning. Amgen could only replicate about half of the published findings in their reproducibility project; I’ve reviewed MLmreplications and the rate isn’t much better. Some of this is undoubtedly for petty reasons—-people run bad experiments, or put their thumb on the scale to get a particular result.
However, another major issue is that the “soft” sciences are actually quite hard. There are a million factors that might affect how an organism responds in a test. We often can’t control for all of them, and may not even know what they are. In a sense, electrons are easier to study. They’re all exactly identical, they only interact with each other in a few simple ways, and they don’t care at all about what you, the experimenter, might want or expect. Every patient (or rat) is unique and susceptible to all kinds of influences based on their interactions with each other, the experimenter, and the rest of the world. In that sense, the “replication crisis” just means we’re slowly and awkwardly discovering what matters.
- mannerheim 4y agoBiology, a hard science? Well, let's not get too far ahead of ourselves now...
- mattkrause 4y agoYes? It was on the softer side in Auguste Compte’s original 19th century definition, but things have moved on quite a bit since then. Platt’s famous article on “Strong Inference” explicitly calls out molecular biology as a success—-and does so ahead of physics! Storer calls biochemistry a hard science and botany a “medium hard” one. The whole idea of a single, uni-dimensional spectrum of “hardness” is pretty silly, but even within it, the natural sciences (especially in the lab) are pretty unambiguously “hard”.
- pvaldes 4y agoNot so hard as geology for sure, but Biology is wide. What means "hard" in this context?