> I have not done a study on this, but it seems like every prediction I come across is just wrong . Appealing to your sense of whether predictions are correct

> I have not done a study on this, but it seems like every prediction I come across is just wrong . Appealing to your sense of whether predictions are correct is a conversation starter at best. We can track forecasts and see how accurate they are. Anyway, here are two IMF working papers: https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwi0sNvL8qb8AhW-nHIEHQ6WCukQFnoECA8QAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.imf.org%2F-%2Fmedia%2FFiles%2FPublications%2FWP%2F2018%2Fwp1839.ashx&usg=AOvVaw22s8YrVD-mMhuVS-3nQO_Z https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&c... https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwi0sNvL8qb8AhW-nHIEHQ6WCukQFnoECBwQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.imf.org%2F-%2Fmedia%2FFiles%2FPublications%2FWP%2F2021%2FEnglish%2Fwpiea2021216-print-pdf.ashx&usg=AOvVaw3okoCS38G6z5M3IphBcZEm https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&c...