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Nicely condensed, I hope I'll remember for future use. But I'd replace the "in tech circles" with "about technological development", because I don't think that
by usrusr 4y ago
Nicely condensed, I hope I'll remember for future use. But I'd replace the "in tech circles" with "about technological development", because I don't think that people further away from tech are any less suspect. (but in the other hand they certainly don't indulge in rose-tinted extrapolation as much...)
- dmarchand90 4y agoOh yeah, good point, maybe something like "the biggest fallacy in predicting the future is to confuse an s curve with an exponential"