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Tesla isn't only a car company. They also have a lot of technology related to clean energy, along with the self driving technology they are creating. The bull
by antasvara 4y ago
Tesla isn't only a car company. They also have a lot of technology related to clean energy, along with the self driving technology they are creating.
The bull case isn't "Tesla becomes a monopoly in automobiles." The bull case is "Tesla becomes a car monopoly, monopolizes self driving, creates a great semi truck, has solar panels on half of the buildings in the US, and supplies battery technology to every clean energy producer globally."
Now, does that justify the valuation? Probably not. But it certainly raises the ceiling on Tesla's valuation. I don't think it's an apples to apples comparison between Tesla and other auto manufacturers.
The discount on Twitter stock is related to the likelihood of a deal closing, compared to the market's perceived value of Twitter stock were the deal to fall through. If you think there is a less than 100% chance of the deal closing, the only sensible thing to do would be to price that in.
- lamontcg 4y agoYeah the bull case would be something close to considering TSLA to be AMZN in 2006 or so launching AWS and taking advantage of first-mover advantage in the cloud space--only with clean energy and FSD. If you believed that was a likely outcome then the insane valuations would seem not so insane, which is why it got bet up to those levels.