3 ms·
In the author's defense, he only says "3 things," not "the most important or significant 3 things." Still, this seems like an agenda for maybe 20 years, not o
by walnutclosefarm 4y ago
In the author's defense, he only says "3 things," not "the most important or significant 3 things." Still, this seems like an agenda for maybe 20 years, not one for 100.
To me, if you're really look out even to the end of this century (which would double the amount of time humanity has been seriously evolving digital computing technology), the big change is likely to be that innovation in ideas, technology, and technique will shift from human minds to digital intelligences. I don't think that means a full-on Kurzweillian singularity, but I think we've basically just landed on the near shore of the generative intelligence continent, and there is way more to come.
Think about it this way: in 80 years, we've evolved raw computation power in a single installation from 500 or so FLOPS, to the petaFLOP range - a factor of over 10^12. So, let's be modest and scale down our expectations, and try to imagine what generative intelligence that is 100 times (not 1 trillion) as capable as, say, AlphaZero is, might do. I'm sure I can't actually imagine the results, but I do predict it will shift the balance of innovative "thinking" from human minds to digital intelligences.