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Those are both great questions, and there is plenty of other terrific speculation in this thread, but one thing I haven't seen yet is the word "collapse". In 1
by slfnflctd 4y ago
Those are both great questions, and there is plenty of other terrific speculation in this thread, but one thing I haven't seen yet is the word "collapse".
In 100 years, it's possible the only computing being done will be of the biological sort, by far smaller and more resilient life forms than humanity. Even if we survive, the seemingly inexorable progression of technology may take a back seat to survival, and we could easily be struggling just to maintain functionality of devices we no longer have the ability to manufacture.
I suppose I should temper the doom & gloom a bit by mentioning that I think we still have several chances to squeak out a pathway to avoid massive and violent die-offs, but that window is certainly narrowing and we aren't doing nearly enough. Hundreds of millions of climate refugees (or more) are going to disrupt pretty much everything if we don't start planning what to do with them now.
- dinkumthinkum 4y agoClimate change is a very important issue but when we make loose claims or imply the earth will be a hellscape with few or no surviving humans in one generation, it only emboldens those that think the real issues are hyperventilating nonsense.
- college_physics 4y agoIts a 50/50 chance we avoid collapse but there is nothing to do but condition on the positive scenario. We already have plenty of hints how dystopic tech looks like. In the positive scenario tech becomes a significant enabler of sustaibility. I don't think we need major computer science breakthroughs for this to happen though. Its purely a human moral, behavioral, economic and political challenge.