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One way to read the negative spread between the 10 year Treasuries and the 2 year Treasuries is that at some point beyond 2 years the Fed will lower the rates a
by credit_guy 4y ago
One way to read the negative spread between the 10 year Treasuries and the 2 year Treasuries is that at some point beyond 2 years the Fed will lower the rates and keep them low for a while. That's consistent with a recession. But not in 2023. Maybe in 2025.
- Phiwise_ 4y agoSomething tells me the Centre for Economic and Business Research is looking at slightly more information than the single graph I bothered to pull off fred for the sake of an internet comment implying we weren't going to have a recession period.