ChatGPT works very well as a tech demo but nothing like it will ever work at scale. There simply is no business model for something as useful as ChatGPT, and t

ChatGPT works very well as a tech demo but nothing like it will ever work at scale. There simply is no business model for something as useful as ChatGPT, and there never will be. Let's assume for a minute that OpenAI will manage to improve their models such that the accuracy There will probably be a business case for the chatbot Google will turn its search engine into, but it will be as far removed from ChatGPT as today's Google is from the good old Google of PageRank fame from 1999, which would show you exactly what you asked for, often enough to be considered genuinely useful. The Google search engine from 1999 was a bit like ChatGPT is today: The demonstration of a new way of doing things that seemed, at the time, to be the way of the future. Except we don't. PageRank is an awesome example of how computer science nerds can disrupt a market with their superior math but it didn't change the basic laws of capitalism and this is why it succeeded in turning Google into one of the letters of FAANG, but it failed at being sustainable. A Google-killing descendent of ChatGPT would have a hard time turning a profit without also turning into the same sort of thing Google is today: A convenient way of giving people ads instead of answers. Here is my prediction: 1) ChatGPT and similar "AI" chatbots will never be more than tech demos 2) The Google of the future will have some shortish chatbot-copypasta for search results that resemble prompts to write essays 3) Google will sell ads for highly specialized and expensive services for the few people who need to copy-paste longer essays (which might or might not have a sufficient relation to reality) and are able to pay for it 4) The end-result will be virtually indistinguishable from the Google of today, because for every honest chatbot-aaS, there will be an uncountable amount of dishonest vendors of "free" auto-generated propaganda and spam, copy-pasted by school-children all over the world, because that will be the results Google will show below their own copypasta, which is just too short for this week's essay because the teacher knows about Google, too. And on HN, people will long for the good old times of 2022, when ChatGPT was, briefly, surprisingly awesome. 5) Your crush won't believe you that you wrote that touching love poem all on your own.