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> It's like if someone gets cancer after Chernobyl. I don't think this metaphor will hold up because both Covid infections and vaccines present an increased ch
by nkozyra 4y ago
> It's like if someone gets cancer after Chernobyl.
I don't think this metaphor will hold up because both Covid infections and vaccines present an increased chance of myocarditis, the former at a higher rate.
Cause and effect for any disease is pretty hard to pin down because of the astronomical amount of variables.
- HPsquared 4y agoThere are many possible causes of cancer, just as there are many possible causes of heart inflammation. It's easier in this case as there are fewer variables than for cancer, and more data on exposure to the various potential factors. Still a total minefield though, in terms of confounding variables. We know for sure which people got the vaccine, but we don't know exactly who got the virus (and, possibly importantly, when they got it and which variant). This also confuses things. Basically it's impossible to estimate.