3 ms·
Millions of deaths per day is just outright fantasy. It's estimated that total COVID deaths China will occur now that they're pivoting from zero COVID to herd i
by Manuel_D 4y ago
Millions of deaths per day is just outright fantasy. It's estimated that total COVID deaths China will occur now that they're pivoting from zero COVID to herd immunity will be 2-3 million. Not to mention, the vast majority of people adversely affected by COVID aren't military age.
China still would lose far more than it'd gain from invading Taiwan. This [1] does a good analysis of the geopolitical consequences of such an action. That said, the same was true about Russia invading Ukraine, but it happened anyway. The right path is to do rigorous analysis but be honest about the uncertainty.
1. https://www.csis.org/analysis/reunification-taiwan-through-force-would-be-pyrrhic-victory-china https://www.csis.org/analysis/reunification-taiwan-through-f...