The leading organizer of research in the field thinks it has a 50% chance of being achieved in 15 years. Specifically, longevity escape velocity being achieved

The leading organizer of research in the field thinks it has a 50% chance of being achieved in 15 years. Specifically, longevity escape velocity being achieved, meaning for each year you live the technology improves fast enough that you get another year. Whatever can be done to raise the odds is obviously preferable, because there’s also a chance it won’t happen in our lifetime and that would be really bad.