- the fed will keep rates higher for longer than people expect, and we’ll enter a “real” recession - the fed will break something unintentionally in the econom

- the fed will keep rates higher for longer than people expect, and we’ll enter a “real” recession - the fed will break something unintentionally in the economy - stock market will bottom, maybe down another 20% from here - crypto will bottom, down a lot more - housing will pull back, good! - housing in Canada will crash and take the economy with it. The world outside of Canada won’t be affected by that - the war in the Ukraine won’t end - Russia won’t use nukes in the Ukraine - China won’t invade Taiwan