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- More gentleman layoffs at Google - At least 2 rounds of hard layoffs at Amazon, plus gentleman layoffs. No more Bezos billion dollar Prime Video projects. Sh
by birdymcbird 4y ago
- More gentleman layoffs at Google
- At least 2 rounds of hard layoffs at Amazon, plus gentleman layoffs. No more Bezos billion dollar Prime Video projects. Shedding at least 10-12% of white collar work force to signal to the market they’re trying to prop the stock
- The economic hard landing
- Disney stock will fare much better under Iger
- Additional rate hikes from the Fed, at least 100bps but maybe 150
- Twitter won’t have the demise the media has been predicting. Musk probably continues making changes and shortly doing about face turn on them.
- Russia continues getting backed into a corner with Ukraine faring better and better thanks to US and Western support. Don’t know if it will happen but increasing probability Russia uses a tactical nuke in Ukraine. Doubt it comes down to WW3, we’ll try to immediately broker a peace deal, rather than getting ourselves (US) in a thermonuclear endgame with Russians
- Streaming recession with new shows put on hold
- More advances in AI like openai. Within big tech companies? Not so much.
- Big tech culture shift, cleaning house and going back to roots or at least trying to find that soul. Focus on bottom line metrics. Oat milk lattes, no so much.
- nlnn 4y agoI tried searching, but what is a gentleman layoff?
- curtisblaine 4y agoLayoffs with a very good severance package.
- nullsense 4y agoI never layoff and tell.
- mkl 4y agoIt's more commonly (but still not very commonly) called a "gentlemen's layoff", but confusingly seems to (also?) mean pretty much the opposite of what curtisblaine said: "Elon Musk and Jason Calacanis messaged about how return-to-office mandates could be used as a ‘gentlemen’s layoff’ to get workers to voluntarily quit" - https://archive.ph/tC9H4 https://archive.ph/tC9H4. No idea which sense birdymcbird intended.
- birdymcbird 4y agoGentleman layoff is how you layoff quietly without too much attention. Quietly raise low performer target %. Your unregretted attrition targets were 4%? Great! This year they’re 8%. Mr. Managers, please produce this list by end of month.
- hutzlibu 4y ago"but increasing probability Russia uses a tactical nuke in Ukraine." Not likely. They would have nothing to gain from it. In their narrative, they are protecting the ukrainians ( which are actually russians, whether they want or not) from the fascist ukrainians. Nuking russian soil does not go together with this and Putin struggles already to not loose his base. And any military advantage this would gain, would be offset by massive upscaling of international aid. Also the russian army is in no shape anymore, to fight in fallout areas. I expect a stalemate at the current frontlines, with not much changes in the long term.
- lionkor 4y agoBut... how else are we going to keep up the image that we're on the side of the good guys? People have been saying this shit for months, about how Russia will invade the rest of Europe, or drops nukes, or go crazy, and low and behold, they so far only did exactly what they said they were going to do, nothing more. If you cant support the war given those facts, and need to make up stories about nukes and total conquest, then maybe war isnt good no matter which side youre on.
- varjag 4y ago…exactly what they said? They were saying they are not going to invade as late as February 20, 2022. Then they said their objectives are total conquest on February 24, 2022 in a public TV address. They threatened nukes (everyone from Putin himself to TV pundits) for months until Xi publicly chided him. But I am impressed how one can take perhaps the most morally unambiguous conflict in the century so far and still make it an uncertainty.
- jessaustin 4y agoWas there something ambiguous about destroying the most prosperous African nation?
- hutzlibu 4y agoAre you refering to Libya? If so, you mean that Gadaffi was a saint or something?
- chestervonwinch 4y ago> - More gentleman layoffs at Google more in addition to what?
- birdymcbird 4y agoGentleman layoffs are when you increase bottom performer targets. You don’t formally lay then off with generous severance but manage them out.