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The idea of FSD is, obviously from the effect of hyping it, enormously attractive. It can't happen now. But in the 1990s, speech recognition that would enable m
by Zigurd 4y ago
The idea of FSD is, obviously from the effect of hyping it, enormously attractive. It can't happen now. But in the 1990s, speech recognition that would enable me to dictate this comment in a relatively noisy space was science fiction. Now that we have orders of magnitude more computing power, and much better microphones and associated noise rejection technology, you can blithely dictate messages with reliability that was previously a dream.
Thing is to go from being unable to distinguish pencil from cancel to today's almost magical speech recognition, took 25 years. That might be the same interval it takes to go from mowing down motorcyclists to delivering all the safety and productivity potential of level 5 autonomy.
- kranke155 4y agoSomeone commented on the Waymo thread that insiders believe they already have FSD, but the cost doesn’t work.
- Zigurd 4y agoTwo things about that: if by FSD you mean level 5 autonomy, waymo is not level 5. It is a robotaxi. Fully autonomous in that role. But the definition of level five includes driving in situations where you don't have any prior data. Outside the map.
- kranke155 4y agoFair but I’d imagine 90%+ of taxi/uber rides are inside cities. Really hoping that they bring the cost down. I’m a way it seems like Musk was half right - the cost for these just doesn’t work (according to the comment).