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The jump from 134,000 (82) to 9.5 million (02) transistors was a significant one, but it's nothing compared to the leaps and bounds made when transitioning to 2
by theCrowing 4y ago
The jump from 134,000 (82) to 9.5 million (02) transistors was a significant one, but it's nothing compared to the leaps and bounds made when transitioning to 20 billion transistors (2022). It's a staggering difference that truly demonstrates the magnitude of the advances made in the last 20 years. The 80s and early 90s were computational winters.
- dinkumthinkum 4y agoI think you should go back Patterson’s book. The benefits of Moore’s law ended and then what happened? I think what you are trying to suggest flies in the face of all conventional wisdom of computer hardware.
- theCrowing 4y agoMoore's law ended? Because Nvidias CEO said so to have an excuse for their dud of a generation? ASM, TSMC, Intel, Apple and AMD are saying it's still going strong.
- realstooge 4y agoAll things considered, there isn't much of a difference between 2012 and 2022 consumer computing. 4/8 cores, all pretty much clocked the same, maybe 8GB/16GB of RAM and 500GB of storage. At best, we optimized the process, optimized edge cases, but not it is certainly not an exponential leap. Between 90-00, we went from 40MHz CPU to 1+ GHZ, 1GB to 100+GB storage capacity. A factor 25 for clock speed, and 100 for storage. By the 90-00 pace standard, in 2022, we would have 25GHz CPU, 1PB disk, but we topped at a few TB at best, consumer. D instruction per core went from 0.33 (1992, Intel i486DX), to 4.1 (2002, Pentium 4 Extreme Edition), to 8.46 (AMD Ryzen Threadripper 3990X), so in 20 years, we had less advancement (x2) than in 10 years (x12). Beside that, Moore's law stated doubling of "metric" every 2 years, 20 years is 10 doubling period, so we should have scaled by a factor of 1000. So yeah, Moore's law is long dead.
- theCrowing 4y agoMoores law has nothing to do with performance and the metric is transistor count and like my example in the previous post we exceeded your 1000 figure...
- dinkumthinkum 4y agoDo you have any idea who Patterson is?
- theCrowing 4y agoWhy even bring him up repeatedly when he himself says it's not dead yet. Maybe it goes belly up in a year or two but at the moment it's not dead.