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The roads will be so gridlocked no one will drive on them anymore /s. Seriously though there are ways of reducing traffic on the roads like increased registrat
by valine 4y ago
The roads will be so gridlocked no one will drive on them anymore /s.
Seriously though there are ways of reducing traffic on the roads like increased registration taxes, raising the price of tolls, gas price hikes (or equivalent dc fast charging price hikes). Gridlock won’t be a problem.
DC fast charging price hikes will be especially effective at reducing robotaxi usage as unlike privately owned EVs, robotaxis will primarily rely on fast charging.
Also don’t forget about how much traffic flow will improve because self driving cars don’t get impatient and tailgate.
- endisneigh 4y ago> Seriously though there are ways of reducing traffic on the roads like increased registration taxes, raising the price of tolls, gas price hikes (or equivalent dc fast charging price hikes). Gridlock won’t be a problem. Yes, this is why traffic is so minimal in the top 10 MSAs in America.
- lotsofpulp 4y agoIt just means prices are not high enough. Make it $100 to travel at rush hour on a particular stretch of road, and congestion will go away very quickly.
- endisneigh 4y agoReducing the congestion isn't the goal though. Increasing throughput is. Cars simply have worse throughput than a train, or a bus for that matter. Simple as that. Charging more money would be counterproductive unless that money served to build out transit since you would increase the congestion on the non-toll roads.
- lotsofpulp 4y agoIt is one and the same. There will be no political will to invest in quality public transit unless there is lots of pain in using comfortable and convenient individual vehicle transit. Paying $100+ for a trip will make people support bus and train and bicycle infrastructure investments. Keep driving costs down at $0.60 to $1.00 per minute or per mile, and it makes sense to use your own car, which then means it makes sense to support initiatives that are contrary to public transit, such as mandated parking lot minimums and giant roads.
- endisneigh 4y agoin practice this doesn't make sense since people are broke. you're be punishing them for no reason, they would continue to drive on more and more congested roads, take longer to get to their destination and you wouldn't raise enough to build out public transit. everyone loses. well, actually, I guess rich people paying $100 a ride on underutilized roads would win. great for them I guess. this is already the status quo.
- lotsofpulp 4y agoThis retort always comes up, and the answer is that different problems have different solutions. Solving each problem directly and in the simplest way possible results in the fewest unintended consequences. Problem is congestion, aka too many cars in x location at y time? Make it more expensive. Problem is some people are too poor? Redistribute wealth via progressive taxation.
- endisneigh 4y agothe retort comes up because charging egregiously to use public roads that they're all paying for with their tax money makes no sense.
- lotsofpulp 4y agoThe idea that a single person is paying a specific part of infrastructure makes no sense. My taxes do not pay for a specific road, they pay for the operations for society as a whole. Sometimes, that would mean my taxes are going to pay for something which hurts me in the short term, if I want to get to a future where individual cars are not used as much and walking/bicycling/public transit are possible.
- dragonwriter 4y ago> the retort comes up because charging egregiously to use public roads that they're all paying for with their tax money makes no sense. So, stop paying for the roads with tax money. Fully internalize the costs with user fees, directing tax spending elsewhere, and the argument about fairness of tax spending goes away. In fact, raise the user fees high enough that the road users are subsidizing other public projects, specifically mass transit, as well as paying the full cost of the roads.
- jupp0r 4y agoI'd rather work in a slow car than be crammed into a full bus. You miss how self driving is changing the economics. A major component of the appeal of public transportation has been that you can do other things while using it. This made up for its (sometimes extreme) inefficiencies with regards to the time it takes you to get to your destination. In fact self driving cars will have an advantage there because you won't have to switch vehicles.
- GoOnThenDoTell 4y agoThis actually sounds really great for those who can afford it I love express lanes, they cost so little and everyone stays out of them leading to a great experience for only 5-10 $
- lotsofpulp 4y agoWealth inequality is a separate problem with separate solutions. It is possible to simultaneously redistribute wealth, and implement measures to curb personal car usage (which is basically the cause of congestion).
- keyanp 4y agoThere are societal reasons why this won’t be accepted by the public. It’s sort of analogous to allowing the rich to pay for a higher spot on an organ donor waitlist, in theory it is economically efficient but in practice it is unfair and will cause outrage. Lots of good discussion on this idea here: https://www.econtalk.org/michael-munger-on-traffic/ https://www.econtalk.org/michael-munger-on-traffic/
- lotsofpulp 4y agoYes, the political challenge of getting massive wealth redistribution passed in conjunction with public opposition to giving up the luxury of personal cars means the probability of the US ever getting its transit situation in order is very low until energy prices rise high enough to force a change.
- dragonwriter 4y agoIt also means energy prices will not rise high enough until the government becomes incapable of subsidizing them, if you (s your argument does) neglect the possibility of political shifts.
- rootusrootus 4y agoI want some of those subsidies. Aside from a few particular oil-rich nations (and some very poor ones), where are these fuel subsidies I keep hearing about? A gallon of gasoline largely costs the same in the US as it does in Europe, if you strip away the taxes.
- dragonwriter 4y ago> Aside from a few particular oil-rich nations (and some very poor ones), where are these fuel subsidies I keep hearing about? Flowing from the US to oil-rich nations in form of security assistance to buy policy, or in the form of US military going to enforce policy preferences, as well as: > A gallon of gasoline largely costs the same in the US as it does in Europe, if you strip away the taxes. Accepting negative externalities without internalizing them (whether through direct liability for externalized harms or pigovian taxes) is a forced subsidy to the activity creating those externalities by the rest of society.
- dinkumthinkum 4y agoOK, so how do you keep the politicians in office that enact such legislation and if you say you want to create a Maoist state either how is this preferable or how do you stop rebellion?
- LegitShady 4y agoyou will simply kill the businesses and housing for anyone living nearby as a side effect. It's not an effective solution because it ignores actual second order effects. Just like toll roads, it will push traffic to other paths while making people who rely on that stretch of road end up paying more. I live in a city where they decided parking downtown was too cheap because people were parking for too long. The effect was massive drop in business EVERYWHERE downtown. Why would I travel there to pay $25 to park while I shop? I'll just go shop elsewhere, where parking is free, and too bad so sad to the shops that go out of business because policy makers don't understand second order effects. Now downtown is filled with empty parking and empty stores.
- epistasis 4y agoCar traffic has very different physics than that of people walking in a popular area. The flux of the number of vehicles, as you increase the number of vehicles on the road, starts out going up as one would expect. But at a certain point, adding more cars on a road starts slowing down the movement. And then as more cars come on the road, the flux goes down, there is less road capacity as it get more crowded. This is the fundamental diagram of traffic flow: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_diagram_of_traffic_flow https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_diagram_of_traffic... So once cars on the road exceed that peak amount of flux, there's a phase change and cars start backing up. So with cars, gridlock really does mean that far far fewer people get serviced by a chunk of road. Whereas with people in a busy area, there really are more people there.
- dinkumthinkum 4y agoYour solutions if they totally resolved gridlock seem like they would sew the seeds of riots.