Everyone essentially doesn't know. We are but extrapolating something we don't understand to either future failure or success depending on a gut feeling. Some l

Everyone essentially doesn't know. We are but extrapolating something we don't understand to either future failure or success depending on a gut feeling. Some like you are saying to expect the unexpected while others are saying to expect this to stall out. I've even heard the openAI CEO couch his predictions behind 'assuming we don't stall out'. In this article and elsewhere it's been pointed out that how core abilities of the large language models are not well understood. Without this understanding everyone is just guessing at the future.