4 ms·
It’s bad at solving logic puzzles today. We’ve just spent a decade-ish watching AI leapfrog over hurdle after hurdle that people said were going to be “impossib
by Uehreka 4y ago
It’s bad at solving logic puzzles today. We’ve just spent a decade-ish watching AI leapfrog over hurdle after hurdle that people said were going to be “impossible” or “would require reasoning/creativity” or “are at best 10 years away”. It feels foolish to assume we won’t see another unexpected leap.
I would be unsurprised if GPT-4 or 5 suddenly becomes really good at math and logic problems. And long before that I expect AI to be hard to distinguish from a human in terms of day-to-day executive function stuff.
- djmips 4y agoEveryone essentially doesn't know. We are but extrapolating something we don't understand to either future failure or success depending on a gut feeling. Some like you are saying to expect the unexpected while others are saying to expect this to stall out. I've even heard the openAI CEO couch his predictions behind 'assuming we don't stall out'. In this article and elsewhere it's been pointed out that how core abilities of the large language models are not well understood. Without this understanding everyone is just guessing at the future.
- dinkumthinkum 4y agoWhy would a language model like this even be good at solving logic puzzles, even GPT-20? I’m not sure west specifically knowledgeable people said would be impossible ten years ago that has been proven wrong now. Right now it’s not even good at answering facts which it has been trained on, let alone actual reasoning. Why does Sky-Net seem more likely than this specific technology having a plateau?