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I remember what my boss told me a few days after I started working, just out of school. "If you want a career you should move away from programming as soon as

I remember what my boss told me a few days after I started working, just out of school. "If you want a career you should move away from programming as soon as possible, those days are over, we're already testing automatic programming systems, it's a matter of months before we use them in production." It was 23 years ago. I think that the current state of AI will be sufficient to build excellent assistant tools, and I can see some productivity increase in some areas. But for anything more advanced, let's say I am not worried.

sciolist 4y ago
I'd agree that "the current state of AI" will be assistants, abeit powerful ones. With that being said, we've seen incredible increases in the ability of AI, even in the last 5 years. We're approaching human-level ability in NLP quite fast - and will surpass it soon. I (personally) don't believe that the past 23 years will be a great indicator for the next 23 in terms of AI. Some of the driving forces in the past 10/15 years are: hardware (we started using GPUs), Transformers, and massive - and I mean massive - increases in training data, fueling a nonlinear progression.
- dinkumthinkum 4y ago
  Why do you say we will surpass human level abilities in NLP soon? Humans that literally use diapers can process quite complex language abs consumer far less watts of power than AI to date and do not requiring consuming an Internet amount of data to do it. Human “training” consists largely of hearing a tiny amount of other humans engage a very limited amount of conversations and nursery rhymes / songs. I’m not sure how this displays anything like human level ability.