They moved OTC codeine to prescription because they guessed that it was responsible for 100 deaths a year. The associated tga website gives estimates on how the

They moved OTC codeine to prescription because they guessed that it was responsible for 100 deaths a year. The associated tga website gives estimates on how they came up with the 100 deaths but I'm not convinced. In the USA, we have a black market drug problem. It reminds me of the quote "drug addiction is bad - the war on drugs is worse". How many people will turn to black market alternatives and what's the estimated loss of life?