4 ms·
In the end it’s not clear to me that the winter range reduction will matter; battery learning rate is about 20% per production doubling, and there must be anoth
by jakewins 4y ago
In the end it’s not clear to me that the winter range reduction will matter; battery learning rate is about 20% per production doubling, and there must be another 2-3 doublings (or more?) before the sigmoid levels off.
So, by the time 50%+ of new cars in US are EV, you can buy something with 2-3x the range of today at todays price point.
And the range today is not bad; on Friday I drove 200 miles in my Kona, in 5F with winter tires, stopped to eat and then drove another 200 miles.. like, road tripping is for sure less smooth than with gasoline, but it’s marginally worse, not show stopper, and is gap rapidly closing.