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By that logic a parrot should be doing calculus within 10-20 years of its first word. Unlikely... It's a fallacy to anthropomorphize a pile of linear algebra,
by nighthawk454 4y ago
By that logic a parrot should be doing calculus within 10-20 years of its first word. Unlikely...
It's a fallacy to anthropomorphize a pile of linear algebra, relate it to a scale of human development, and extrapolate that AI is on a similar trajectory of progress/potential.
Relevant xkcd: https://xkcd.com/605/ https://xkcd.com/605/
- johnfn 4y ago> By that logic a parrot should be doing calculus within 10-20 years of its first word. Unlikely... If a parrot's brain grew exponentially every year for 20 years, then I might expect it to. :) > It's a fallacy to anthropomorphize a pile of linear algebra, relate it to a scale of human development, and extrapolate that AI is on a similar trajectory of progress/potential. I don't believe I said any of those things.
- CamperBob2 4y agoBy that logic a parrot should be doing calculus within 10-20 years of its first word. Unlikely... I don't know about parrots, but if you could take a corvid and grant it the same rate of improvement in brain size and training input that these models are receiving, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see it doing calculus within 10-20 years.
- nighthawk454 4y agoSize isn't everything. It's not about the brain growing - it's about the teaching methods. Right now, I think it's still an open question whether current architectures and objectives are for sure capable of reasoning/AGI/etc or not. If they're not, then scale itself isn't the answer.