Well, they were wrong. This isn't the same question though. The ML models that were trying to beat Go were on the correct path, it was just a matter of improve

Well, they were wrong. This isn't the same question though. The ML models that were trying to beat Go were on the correct path, it was just a matter of improvement. It was inevitable that they would beat the game. ChatGPT doesn't logically reason about code or business contexts. The developers of ChatGPT are not trying to do that, the developers don't know HOW to do that, not even slightly. Until they're on that pathway it's not even a question: ML that very efficiently copies and pastes from StackOverflow is simply not going to significantly replace programming jobs. The question of how long is left until the AI replaces programmers is completely irrelevant right now. Using Go/Chess analogy: > If the game is to replace effective human programmers then the AI is not even playing the game yet, let alone X years away from beating it.