3 ms·
Actually do someone here know the odds of survival for the crew during apolo 11? more than 70% or less?
by mickael-kerjean 4y ago
Actually do someone here know the odds of survival for the crew during apolo 11? more than 70% or less?
- sebzim4500 4y agoI've heard interviews with engineers looking back where some say it was 2/3 and some say 1/2. Then again, there are plenty of quotes from NASA engineers describing the 1/10,000 per flight expected fatalities of shuttle as being ridiculously pessimistic, so clearly this is hard to estimate.
- HPsquared 4y agoThese types of calculations tend to suffer from the "unknown unknowns" side of things. The number only includes "known unknowns".
- pgreenwood 4y agoAnyone's guess I suppose, but Neil Armstrong is quoted as saying that he thought they had a 90% chance of returning to the earth safely and a 50% chance of a successful landing. Quote is at around 19.00 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJzOIh2eHqQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJzOIh2eHqQ