It's highly unlikely they go above 6%. This isn't the 70s, we're coming out of a pandemic and the system is still settling from an intense shock, by the end of

It's highly unlikely they go above 6%. This isn't the 70s, we're coming out of a pandemic and the system is still settling from an intense shock, by the end of 2023 we will be in a much better position. There is always a chance of Taiwan invasion or Russia launching a wider war, but those seem under 10% likely currently.