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I agree people won't leave because of Mush, but here are a few ways things could go south for Twitter in the next year or so. * Advertisers leave to protect th

I agree people won't leave because of Mush, but here are a few ways things could go south for Twitter in the next year or so. * Advertisers leave to protect their brands * Major multi day outages * Data corruption * Security breaches * Outlandish payment schemes for posts or reach * Company is broken up and sold off in chunks to pay down the financing debt

CM30 4y ago
Yeah, Twitter's situation is a risky one to say the least. Definitely not denying that it could come crashing down due to poor management decisions. But I do question whether people will move towards any particular alternative, or whether they might even stick with other services they use instead. None of these replacements seem to quite have the pull necessary to attract most of the existing Twitter userbase, and none seem to be taking over in the same way Reddit beat Digg or Facebook beat Myspace. Perhaps the market for a Twitter esque microblogging service might decline as people spend more time on Discord/Reddit/YouTube/TikTok/whatever instead? Hmm, I guess the only way to know for sure is to wait and see what happens when Twitter comes crashing down.
- pfarrell 4y ago
  I deleted my mostly unused accounts (one of them even dating back to 2007) when the post advocating who to vote for was published. Of course, not being a heavy user made it easy to do. There are so many different ways people use Twitter, I suspect it will persist. Digg and MySpace (and maybe LiveJournal and del.icio.us) are perfect examples of a social network dying, but Twitter is orders of magnitude bigger than those were. I think Reddit and FB got a big help from the advent of mobile as it brought boatloads of new users online. That pool of new users doesn't exist in 2022.
anigbrowl 4y ago
That timeframe might be a bit optimistic. He's also stopped paying rent and severance, apparently. Mr. Musk also continues to cut staff and leaders, including Nelson Abramson, Twitter’s global head of infrastructure, and Alan Rosa, the global information technology head and vice president of information security, according to four people familiar with the moves.
- pfarrell 4y ago
  I remember the fail whale. I suspect we’ll see it again soon. Twitter stability used to be a joke, then it evolved into something fundamentally impressive. There was a major infrastructure change brought about by some key hires iirc. I’ve also heard that Twitter would get your tweet to all your followers in 5 seconds. That will be hard to measure externally, but I’ll bet it’s one of the first things to slip.

CM30 4y ago

Yeah, Twitter's situation is a risky one to say the least. Definitely not denying that it could come crashing down due to poor management decisions. But I do question whether people will move towards any particular alternative, or whether they might even stick with other services they use instead. None of these replacements seem to quite have the pull necessary to attract most of the existing Twitter userbase, and none seem to be taking over in the same way Reddit beat Digg or Facebook beat Myspace. Perhaps the market for a Twitter esque microblogging service might decline as people spend more time on Discord/Reddit/YouTube/TikTok/whatever instead? Hmm, I guess the only way to know for sure is to wait and see what happens when Twitter comes crashing down.

pfarrell 4y ago
I deleted my mostly unused accounts (one of them even dating back to 2007) when the post advocating who to vote for was published. Of course, not being a heavy user made it easy to do. There are so many different ways people use Twitter, I suspect it will persist. Digg and MySpace (and maybe LiveJournal and del.icio.us) are perfect examples of a social network dying, but Twitter is orders of magnitude bigger than those were. I think Reddit and FB got a big help from the advent of mobile as it brought boatloads of new users online. That pool of new users doesn't exist in 2022.

anigbrowl 4y ago

That timeframe might be a bit optimistic. He's also stopped paying rent and severance, apparently. Mr. Musk also continues to cut staff and leaders, including Nelson Abramson, Twitter’s global head of infrastructure, and Alan Rosa, the global information technology head and vice president of information security, according to four people familiar with the moves.

pfarrell 4y ago
I remember the fail whale. I suspect we’ll see it again soon. Twitter stability used to be a joke, then it evolved into something fundamentally impressive. There was a major infrastructure change brought about by some key hires iirc. I’ve also heard that Twitter would get your tweet to all your followers in 5 seconds. That will be hard to measure externally, but I’ll bet it’s one of the first things to slip.