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If the civil aviation sector suffered hull losses at the same rate as remote control war drone flying does[0] - even excluding those shot down - the entire indu
by PaulRobinson 4y ago
If the civil aviation sector suffered hull losses at the same rate as remote control war drone flying does[0] - even excluding those shot down - the entire industry would be bankrupted within a few years.
Also, this is an attempt to reduce labor costs. They aren't going to put a pilot on the ground as primary or backup - they just want to remove the second pilot from the loop entirely.
We have a list of airliner crashes[1], that once we figure out absolute numbers of total flights likely shows that airliners are much, much safer than remote controlled drones (after excluding shoot downs for latter), but what we don't have is data on how many aircraft landed safely but only because the second pilot was there. I'd want to know:
1. How many times did a pilot immediately intervene for a developing safety issue while the other pilot was asleep, in the toilet, or suffering from a medical incapacitation? A huge amount of work has been done to ensure redundancy of human control in such situations, because many crashes have occurred where this process failed.
2. How many times did a pilot make a mistake that was corrected by a second pilot, and if that correction hadn't been made a safety issue would have developed? There are numerous crashes attributed to pilot error and the second pilot failing to correct that error - a huge amount of work has been done to make sure that can't happen again, because everyone knows pilots regularly make mistakes, often a critical time of the flight from a safety perspective: landing.
3. How many times has an automated system shown better error correction performance that saved an aircraft vs a human being?
Until we have this data, the data we have suggests remote controlled aircraft or removing a pilot has the potential to be one of the most dangerous decisions to happen to civil aviation in the history of the industry.
[0] - https://dronewars.net/drone-crash-database/ https://dronewars.net/drone-crash-database/
[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_accidents_and_incidents_involving_commercial_aircraft https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_accidents_and_incident...
- WalterBright 4y agoThe ones where the second pilot corrected the mistake are not shown on episodes of Aviation Disasters, because they are boring. The first 737MAX MCAS incident you never hear about because there were 3 pilots in the cockpit, and one of them reached over and turned off the stab trim system.
- Moru 4y agoOnly because he already had been in an incident himself already the day before and knew what to do.