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Fearmongerers. By managing expectations that way, they can influence the markets. The truth being that Central Banks can dynamically adjust rates. That's actua
by aatd86 4y ago
Fearmongerers.
By managing expectations that way, they can influence the markets.
The truth being that Central Banks can dynamically adjust rates. That's actually expected.
The other thing is that just taming inflation by rising rates is too crude. It's almost a kneejerk reaction.
The problem is that monetary mass tends to concentrate into pools. With time money circulation is hindered because rich people get richer faster than average/poor people.
Inflation is more of a concern for average/poor people however.
When the economic policies were loose, it was time to introduce structural policies that would bolster money circulation and offset inflation.
Now, part of these policies are being introduced as there is a shift toward national productions (globalization makes monetary mass control harder since capital is distributed worldwide but Central Banks, globally, have different mandates that can only directly effect their own respective jurisdictions)
In the end, it's a closed system. There is no true justification for a recession.
It should balance out. Rich peeps just don't want to see their dollar numbers dwindle. In that case, they should be incentivized to invest in cash flow generating ventures rather than storing it as interest bearing debt.
Otherwise, of course, the economy is going to contract... Duh!
(Money attracts money so the rich always win I guess, still rising rates was never the true cure, it's just a way to cleanup misallocations a little perhaps)
- credit_guy 4y ago> In the end, it's a closed system. There is no true justification for a recession. It should balance out. Not sure I follow your argument. You seem to imply that there's never a justification for recessions, yet recessions do happen from time to time.
- aatd86 4y agoNot implying that. Implying that the strategies to smoothen things out are not applied correctly but too naively obviously (there are multiple correlated factors so I guess it's somewhat more difficult than it seems). They address symptoms and not the root causes. Basically, a recession occurs when money has been pulled back from the economy, whether by a Central Bank that would hike interest rates or, in a more adhoc fashion, by a given sector being hyped (via a technological breakthrough perhaps) or even a single commodity (people had weird fetishes around tulips at some point). These are not cash-flow generating assets nor ventures or they create too few new jobs in the immediate term. Now since money does not flow back instantly (some kind of hysteresis)... A recession. A multi-participant tug of war...