"We used to harvest huge amounts of natural ice and ship them long distances. The first machines to make ice were dangerous and expensive and made lousy ice. Th

"We used to harvest huge amounts of natural ice and ship them long distances. The first machines to make ice were dangerous and expensive and made lousy ice. Then the machines became good and nobody harvests natural ice anymore. In this analogy, LLMs are bad at first and don’t have much impact. Then they improve to match and then exceed human performance and human writing mostly disappears." I found the analogy so bad that I stopped reading the rest. Ice is a fixed thing. There are not many forms of ice, so once a machine can produce it, there is no need for natural ice anymore. Unlike writing. There is no "natural" form of writing. Each and every writing is mostly a craft. There is no limit to what and how you can write. There are also myriad forms of writing, for a number of purposes. Writing for entertainment for example is a genuine human product. It's so individual and complex as each human itself. A machine/a statistical program can never produce consistently new writings which entertain and satisfy humans enough to replace human writers. Unless the machine can become human themselves!