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It's possible we're at the limit, but there's also no inherent reason it couldn't be better than humans. Its limits seem to be tied to conceptual capacity, not

It's possible we're at the limit, but there's also no inherent reason it couldn't be better than humans. Its limits seem to be tied to conceptual capacity, not training material. We've seen it generate output that was its input combined in novel ways, and not found anywhere else. AlphaGo is a clear-cut case of this.

CamperBob2 4y ago
Of course, the history of AI is one of punctuated equilibrium, so it might be 30-50 years before the next 10x advance shows up, with nothing very interesting happening in the meantime. But my thinking is that 30-50 years isn't that long, compared to the magnitude of the changes in the nature of knowledge work that may become possible.