They have prediction markets for exactly this: https://manifold.markets/mr22222222/sbf-convicted-of-a-felony-before-20 https://manifold.markets/mr22222222/sbf-

They have prediction markets for exactly this: https://manifold.markets/mr22222222/sbf-convicted-of-a-felony-before-20 https://manifold.markets/mr22222222/sbf-convicted-of-a-felon... (On Manifold, you can only donate winnings to charity rather than withdraw, which allows them to legally operate.)