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I also find him to be too harsh on China, but their inane zero-covid policies, the infighting within the CCP, and the recent spate of protests make me think tha
by spaceman_2020 4y ago
I also find him to be too harsh on China, but their inane zero-covid policies, the infighting within the CCP, and the recent spate of protests make me think that he might be right all along.
- horseAMcharlie 4y agoKotkin spoke to the Hoover Institute in Q1 this year about China and he had the insight that in any communist country you can't be half communist. It's a binary choice which means there's almost no opportunity for centrist constituencies to arise. The only constituencies are pro-central government, anti-central government and apathetic. This makes government legitimacy the central political object that almost all political discourse revolves around, whether there happens to be a taboo in acknowledging it or not. Following this, policy mistakes become comparatively much harder to reverse in communist countries than in liberal/illiberal democracies, monarchies and pseudo-monarchies. with Chinese characteristics.
- midoridensha 4y ago>the infighting within the CCP, Every nation's leadership, and every political party, has infighting. Just look at all the infighting in US politics: it's a complete mess, and it's really dragging the US down. The US might be able to weather it better because of its stronger economy, but that's not a sure thing.