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>He starts by breathlessly describing how "risk neutral" SBF is and then not long after describes SBFs need for "extreme risk" when looking for his next venture
by SilasX 4y ago
>He starts by breathlessly describing how "risk neutral" SBF is and then not long after describes SBFs need for "extreme risk" when looking for his next venture (which led to FTX).
I reviewed that part, and it's not a contradiction[1]. Risk-neutral is the opposite of being risk-averse, and so the former means you favor the riskier ventures. In the language of that paragraph, risk-neutral means you will spend $1 for a 50% + epsilon chance of winning $2, and spend $1 for a 1-in-a-million plus epsilon chance of $1,000,001.
This risk-neutrality, of course, violates the Kelly Criterion and came back to bite him.
[1] Which is not, of course, to defend the article generally!
- dopamean 4y agoPerhaps I misunderstood that part of the article. I understood it to meant that to be risk neutral one must be willing to do both but I wasn't seeing examples of both in the article. I was seeing glaring examples of "extreme" risk seeking.