> There's not much reason to think this is the case based on the opinions of other experts in the field. There is however good reason to think this is the case

> There's not much reason to think this is the case based on the opinions of other experts in the field. There is however good reason to think this is the case by looking at the history of many other developments, such as planes (so many crashes and deaths in the 1900s) and rockets (many SpaceX booms).