I understand you disagree, but I am pointing out that you can just as well predict extremely positive outcomes instead of your pessimistic ones, which you proba

I understand you disagree, but I am pointing out that you can just as well predict extremely positive outcomes instead of your pessimistic ones, which you probably convince yourself are 'realistic', but there is no such thing as 'realistic' predictions, because we live in true emergent chaos. So, you have a choice how to look at the world.